IMPROVEMENT’ EXPECTED FOR 2019 COLUMBIA FALL CHINOOK FISHING
COLUMBIA RIVER FALL CHINOOK
2018 Forecast/Actual Returns and 2019 Preseason Forecasts The forecasts shown here are estimates made in February in preparation for the North of Falcon season-setting process. Once the North of Falcon process is complete, these February forecasts will change slightly. Final forecasts will be available in mid-April.
1 Subset of URB
2 First year for predicting LRB which was formerly a component of BUB stock.
? LRH – Similar to last year’s actual return, about 60% of the 10-year average.
? LRW – Improved over 2018 actual return, 85% of the 10-year average.
? LRB – Forecast is more than twice the 10-year average.
? BPH – Improved over 2018 actual return, about half of the 10-year average.
? URB – Similar to last year’s actual return.
? PUB – Improved over 2018 actual return, about two-thirds of the 10-year average.
? SAB – Forecast is 27% of the recent 10-year average.
? Total Return – Slight improvement over 2018 actual return. Several years of poor ocean conditions are likely contributing to the decreased returns.